Latest government measures will give a fillip to residential property segment.
The government has just announced changes to its property policies, covering three major areas:
- caps on bank financing for residential properties;
- limits on the use of CPF funds for property purchases; and
- restrictions on foreign ownership of lands and properties (details in the Appendix).
Why now?
Our guess is that the government believes there is sufficient slack in the property market. As at end-Mar 05, there were 19,790 units of completed but unoccupied private residential units, or 8.8% of the total stock. This overhang has been keeping overall property prices in check despite the steady progress of the Singapore economy over the past two years. With General Elections around the corner, the timing for change could not be better.
The key positive for the property sector is the improved cash affordability that comes from two measures:
- a higher Loan-to-Value (LTV) limit for housing loans (up from 80% to 90%); and
- a lower cash payment requirement for private residential and HDB homes from 10% to 5%.
This improved affordability will help boost buyer sentiment, especially in the lower-end market, which has been lagging behind the higher-end market this year. With stabilised HDB prices, current owners may potentially upgrade to private properties. With the reduced cash down payment requirement, more first-time buyers can directly migrate to lower-end private properties.
Developers which are most geared to the lower to mid-end markets are City Developments (CIT SP, S$8.85, Hold), Allgreen (AG SP, S$1.27, Hold) and MCL Land (MCL SP, S$1.50, Hold).
In addition, foreign buying is expected to increase with the relaxation of rules on foreign ownership. These will benefit higher-end developers such as Wheelock Properties (WP SP, S$2.90, NR), Wing Tai (WINGT SP, S$1.18, NR) and Keppel Land (KPLD SP, S$2.98, Buy).
Another Report by DBSVickers dated 20-Jul here. Extract fm this report,
Disclaimer : Above Materials are Meant to be used for Reference ONLY. It does not represent a recommendation from any of us
6 comments:
Based on the GK Goh report, REIT counter s may benefit from the phasing out of NRPS. It was stated that it will encourage more investors to invest in the REIT market instead of hard assets. This is may be a good news to REIT counter. No wonder, the REIT counter share price increase today.
Congrat to you lay hong. Make profit :) yeah only TC has that share. KK and me do not have the share :(. We should start this a few month agos.. heee.....
If you read my earlier blog, my computation of its NAV comes up to about $2.12, same as that of a report from KimEng. Plus $0.20(max) from Raffles Holding sale, I value it about $2.40. This excludes any "surprises" or hidden gems to be unveiled.
I bought Capitaland over a year ago because I thought it was cheap then and I kind of like its investments in China.
So for me, I intend to take a conservative stance, sell some, leave the profits(to collect goodies) ... :D
Lay Hong, must tell us why lah ... share your insights.
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